Monday, October 23, 2017

Pala, Saturday 10.21.2017

Session notes: A downer session. I think the issue is that I'm trying to play too many hands too deep, even though I've limited my opening range to 25% IP.

Session stats: 1/3NL, $580 buy in

Start time: 3:28PM    End time: 11:09PM

Profit/(loss): ($387)

Interesting hands:

Hand 1: Kh8h BTN

Situation: Weak table. I still can't get anything going. Decide to try to steal a little IP.

Several limpers. I raise to $15 with Kh8h on BTN. One caller. Preflo ppot $39 less drop = $34.

Flop 9s7c5d. Checks around.

Turn 8s. Checks to me. I bet $20. Villain calls.

River Qs. Checks around. Villain shows As2s.


Analysis: Once the villain calls the turn bet, most likely that he is on a FD, so when the flush comes in on the river, this would not be a bet as a bluff.

Hand 2: JcTc UTG+1

Situation: This hand is within my 10% OOP opening range so I open. Can't really continue on the flop, even though the rest of the table plays this pretty passively.

I open JcTc UTG+1 to $12. MP1, BTN, SB call. Preflop pot $51 less drop = $46.

Flop A8Ar. Checks around.

Analysis: At this point, I'm done with the hand.

Turn Qs. Checks to MP1 who bets $14. BTN call all in for $14. All others fold.

River bricks. MP1 shows A6. BTN shows AKo.

Hand 3: 98o BB

Situation: Hmm. What can I say.

3 limps I call. Preflop pot $12 less drop = $7

Flop 987 I check. Player on my left bets $10. BTN calls. I overcall. Pot $37.

Analysis: There could be an argument to check raise here to take it down once SB also calls. This would fold out all draws, maybe even 65.

Turn J. Checks again.

River Ac. Checks to BTN who bets $35. I fold, Flop better calls. BTN shows QT.

Hand 4: AA UTG+1

Situation: Second hand at a new table. Game is 1/3, $300 cap. Effective stacks around $200. I've just topped off and have $300.

Hero raises to $20 with AcAd UTG+1. Folds around to CO who calls. BTN and SB now also call. Preflop pot $83 less drop = $78.

Flop 9c8c5s. SB checks. I bet $40. CO folds. BTN calls. SB now CRAI for $183.

Analysis: I so badly wanted to call off here, but because I have the Ac, I was having trouble coming up with a bluffing range that the villain would be doing this with. Plus, there's still a player left to act (BTN). My thought was that if villain is capable of doing this with overpairs (TT-QQ) and maybe the SFD, I might be able to call because of the dead money. However, if not, I'm not priced in to call because there are no implied odds.


Looking at some scenarios:

1. If villain is doing this with overpairs and some bluffs (KcQc, QcJc, JcTc):

PokerCruncher-Advanced-Android V.10.2.1

(Equity,  Win,  Tie)
Player 1:  46.2%  45.7%  1.06%  [AcAd]
Player 2:  53.8%  53.2%  1.06%  {QQ-88, 66, KcQc, QcJc, JcTc, 98s, 76s, 98o, 76o}

Board:  [9c 8c 5s ? ?]
Deal To:  River
Dead Cards:  {}

Monte Carlo Simulation: 100000 trials

Notes:

2. If I remove all bluffs except the SFD:

PokerCruncher-Advanced-Android V.10.2.1

(Equity,  Win,  Tie)
Player 1:  45.6%  45.0%  1.03%  [AcAd]
Player 2:  54.4%  53.9%  1.03%  {QQ-88, 66, JcTc, 98s, 76s, 98o, 76o}

Board:  [9c 8c 5s ? ?]
Deal To:  River
Dead Cards:  {}

Monte Carlo Simulation: 100000 trials

Notes:

3. Finally, if I remove overpairs:

PokerCruncher-Advanced-Android V.10.2.1

(Equity,  Win,  Tie)
Player 1:  25.5%  24.9%  1.14%  [AcAd]
Player 2:  74.5%  73.9%  1.14%  {99-88, 66, JcTc, 98s, 76s, 98o, 76o}

Board:  [9c 8c 5s ? ?]
Deal To:  River
Dead Cards:  {}

Monte Carlo Simulation: 100000 trials

Notes:

Of note, there is not a scenario here where I'm ahead. Finally - I don't think players at this level semi bluff their monster draws all that often. 

Hand 5: JJ BTN

Situation1/3 NL, $300 cap a few hours after the AA hand. My image is shit. I've not been able to win a single hand at this table. I have about $225 to start the hand. Table is very active and gambly. Villain (HJ) in this hand is the villain in hand 4, plus a guy who had been playing pretty tight in BB.

Hero is BTN with JJ. HJ opens to $21. I call here to keep the blinds in. SB folds, but BB jams for $205 total. Folds back around to HJ who call it off for $105.

Analysis: I had to really thing about this. Once HJ calls, my *best* scenario is they're both holding AK. However, if one of the doesn't then I'm toast. I decide to fold.

HJ has AK, BB has AA.

Pala, Friday 10.20.2017

Session notes: Friday night at Pala. One good older player providing some action at the table.

Session stats: 1/3 NL, $300 buy in

Start time: 7:47PM      End time: 11:23PM

Profit/(loss): $30

Interesting hands: A couple from this session.

Hand 1: AhTh BTN 8 handed

Situation: Villain is two to my right in HJ. Active older player. No hand reading abilities.

Villain raises to $6. I call with AhTh on BTN. Two other callers. Preflop pot $24 less drop = $19.

Flop Jh3c2h. Checks around.

Turn Qs. Checks to villain who bets $25. I call. Others fold.

River Qh. Villain leads for $35. I move all in. Villain calls for $100 more. I'm good.


Analysis: The betting patttern here is Queens. A set would most likely have bet the flop to protect against the FD. I don't think that this player is folding trips, so I move all in on the river even though it shouldn't get called by anything except a boat.

Hand 2: 87o BB

Situation: Same villain as in hand 1. Playing 8 handed. Old man starts the hand with about $320 in HJ. I cover.

Bunch of limpers. I check my option in the BB with 87o. Pot after drop = $15

Flop A64r. Checks around. 

Turn 5d. I lead for $30. He raises to $60. 
I decide to call and shove a safe river. Pot $135.  

Analysis: At this point, it's pretty clear that he isn't folding. I range him on two pairs, sets, and the same hand as me (87). 

River 4. No flush. I check. He bets $100. I decide to call. He shows A4 for a full house. 


Analysis: No bluff here. The bet is huge, but that's because he thinks he has the nuts. He's clearly not folding. Thinking through this, he has 3 combos each of 66 and 55, one combo of 44, 6 combos of A4 and 6 combos of 54 that beat me. There are 9 combos of A5, 9 combos of A6, and 9 combos of 56 that I beat. So, 19 combos that beat me, 27 that I beat. Math says call, but once again, the fish are polarized on big river bets and *not* bluffing very often, 

Bicycle Casino, Sunday 10.15.2017

Session notes: Literally a breakeven session

Session stats: 2/3NL, $400 buy in

Start time: 4:47PM        End time: 9:24PM

Profit/(loss): $0

Interesting hands:

Hand 1: AhKh MP1

Situation: Tightish table. Playing against old man maniac.

Hero raises to $12 with AhKh in MP1. 4 callers. Preflop pot $49 less drop = $43.

Flop Ks5s3s. Checks to me. I bet $20. BB is only caller. Pot $83.

Turn As. Checks to me. I bet $35. Villain calls. Pot $153.


Analysis: In retrospect this should probably be a check to get a free card.

Riiver 9s. Villain in BB now leads for $75. I fold.


Hand 2: AcJc MP2

Situation: Same villain as in hand 1.

UTG limps. Hero raises to $15 from MP2 with AcJC. SB calls. UTG now moves all in for $58. I call. SB folds. Preflop pot $134 less drop = $127.

Analysis: I only need 2.1 to 1 to call (1+(52.6/47.4)), so I should call here.
Board misses. UTG shows 99.



Sunday, October 15, 2017

Pala, Friday 10.13.2017

Session notes: Short session. Played until tables started breaking for the evening.

Session stats: 1/3NL, $300 buy in

Start time: 8:14PM        End time: 12:04AM

Profit/(loss): $70

Notes:

  • Table was really tight. Once the one or two spots at the table left, there wasn;t a lot of action.
  • Pretty slow for a Friday night

Interesting hands:

Hand 1: AhKh MP2

Situation: Active fish on in CO. Definitely a target.

I raise to $11 with AhKh. CO and BB call. Preflop pot $33 less drop = $28.

Flop AdKd4s. BB checks. I bet $20. Villain calls. BB folds. Pot $68.

Turn 3h. I bet $45. Villain calls. Pot $158.

River 4c. I bet $50. Villain folds.

Pala, Saturday 10.07.2017

Session notes: Grind session. Nothing big of note.

Session stats: 1/3 NL, $300 buy in

Start time: 9:00PM        End time: 1:28AM

Profit/(loss): $123

Notes:

  • Using tightened ranges:
  • LP

  • EP


Pala, Sunday 10.01.2017

Session notes: Short session to test mental state. Was able to close it down after a couple hours rather than trying to force something to happen.

Session stats: 1/3NL, $300 buy in

Start time: 6:29PM        End time: 9:11PM

Profit/(loss): ($82)

Pala, Friday 09.29.2017

Session notes: First time back. Went to Pala for mental reasons.

Session stats: 1/3 NL, $500 buy in

Start time: 9:23PM      End time: 2:22AM

Profit/(loss): $3

Notes:

  • I need to look at my opening ranges. I'm thinking that I'm opening too wide and finding myself in a lot of uncomfortable tough spots.
Interesting hands: Interesting hand from this session

Hand 1: JdTd HJ

Situation: Up against an active player. VPIP is too high.

2 limps to me. I raise to $15 with JdTd in HJ. Both call. Preflop pot $45 less drop = $40.

Flop Kd5dQc. Check to me. I bet $20. Villain calls. Field caller folds. Pot $80.

Turn 6d. Villain checks. I bet $25. Villain check raises to $80. I call. Pot $240.

River 2c. Villain bets $80. I call and am good. Pot $400.

Analysis: The turn CR threw me for a loop. Initial thought is there are definitely some Ahxh and Qhxh in villain's range. However, thinking through at a deeper level, I couldn't understand why Villain would CR with a nut flush or even 2nd nut flush and get me to fold. Range much more likely to be a bluff or a baby flush that I beat here than a nutty hand.